These are the most up-to-date covid-19 infection numbers for the Liverpool City Region, just a day before the government announces its review of the current level system.
When the national blockade ended on 2 December, the government placed all areas in England within one of three new borders.
The levels are tougher than those first introduced in the fall, with the goal of reducing rates before things relax during Christmas.
However this has not worked in some areas, with the government confirming that London, most of Essex and parts of Hertfordshire will move to the highest level since midnight tonight.
This is due to increasing viral rates in these areas.
The Liverpool City Region will hope to avoid the same fate, going down from Tier 3 to Tier 2 after the national blockade.
Matt Hancock will announce which areas will be placed in which layers in parliament tomorrow – with some changes taking effect from Saturday.
Local leaders are pretty sure to stay in the second part of restrictions – which allows restaurants and pubs serving food to remain open – as rates here have remained stable so far.
There were some small rises in some townships after the move to level 2, but the numbers did not increase to a point when the boundaries of level 3 are likely to be imposed.
These are the latest infection rates for each urban regional township for the week ending December 12th.
Halton – 114.4 (148 cases)
Knowsley – 99.4 (150 cases)
Liverpool – 95.2 (474 cases)
St. Helena – 116.8 (211 cases)
Sefton – 67.7 (187 cases)
Wirral – 67.3 (218 cases)
The average speed of the Liverpool City Region for this period is 89.0 cases per 100,000.
When one looks at the weekly changes in infection rates in each township, it shows a fairly mixed picture.
In Liverpool there was a 6.8% increase in cases compared to the previous week, while Sefton saw a 7.9% decrease.
Knowsley saw a 3.4% weekly rise, while Halton witnessed a 9.2% decline.
The general picture, however, is of case rates not changing much at all, but rather flat without much variation.
If you look at the City Region average, there was only a 0.4% increase from the previous week.
The only place to see a steady recent rise in numbers is Wirral, with a jump of 21.1% the previous week.
But the peninsula fell to by far the lowest numbers of anywhere in the conurbation.
Another additional complication is the launch of mass, asymptomatic testing in all small towns in the urban area.
Find the latest rates for your local area
Although this is not happening according to the Liverpool test in November and so far no additional cases have been found, there may still be enough infections located to cause some small growths in some townships.
It’s also important to point out that it’s probably a little too early for us to see the full impact of the loose Tier 2 measures that came for our region earlier this month.
It usually takes about two weeks for people to start having symptoms after an infection, so we may better understand this effect when we get the data for the start of this week.
So probably the current numbers will be enough to keep the level 2 level for the Liverpool City Region – but the strong message is that we are still not out of the woods at all and things could quickly get in trouble if people stop doing the right things to try to suppress the virus here.